Big Rate Cuts Coming? Fed Shifts, Expert Critiques, and Housing Market Hits $55T

This week’s real estate headlines are packed with big moves. Signs are pointing to Big Rate Cuts as the Federal Reserve responds to weaker job data. Meanwhile, renowned economist Mohamed El‑Erian is calling out the Fed’s delays and misreads. Add to that the U.S. housing market reaching a staggering $55.1 trillion in value, and you’ve got a week full of market shifts and strategic opportunities. For mortgage pros, real estate agents, and clients alike, these updates could signal the start of a high-impact season.


Are Big Federal Reserve Rate Cuts on the Way?

Read the Full Story → MPA

Recent employment data is softening fast—only 22,000 jobs were added in August, falling well below projections. The unemployment rate also ticked up to 4.3%, the highest it’s been since late 2021.

Economists are reading the tea leaves and many are expecting Big Rate Cuts from the Fed, possibly as soon as September. Now a possible 50-basis-point move is on the table, with more to follow if inflation stays contained.

This could be the signal many homebuyers and refi prospects have been waiting for. If mortgage rates follow suit, affordability and application volume could both rise quickly.


Top Economist Says the Fed Got It Wrong Again

Read the Full Story → Yahoo Finance

Mohamed El‑Erian didn’t mince words this week, calling out the Federal Reserve for repeatedly being too slow and reactive in its policy decisions. His claim? The Fed keeps “getting it wrong”—misjudging inflation, delaying necessary action, and now potentially overcorrecting.

He warned that the latest economic indicators show a cooling economy, but the Fed’s slow shifts in policy risk making things worse. His message echoed throughout the financial world: if Big Rate Cuts are needed, the Fed shouldn’t wait too long.

While opinions vary, his take adds fuel to growing pressure for the Fed to get ahead of the curve—not behind it again.


U.S. Housing Market Value Hits $55.1 Trillion

Read the Full Story → Zillow

The total value of the U.S. housing market has hit an all-time high—$55.1 trillion. That’s a $20 trillion increase since 2020, though recent growth has slowed to just 1.6% over the past year.

What’s fascinating is the shift in where value is growing. Big states like California, Florida, and Texas actually saw housing wealth drop, while areas like New York, New Jersey, Illinois, and Pennsylvania surged.

Also notable: major metros like New York and LA now hold a smaller share of overall gains. The wealth is spreading, and mid-size markets are rising. That’s good news for buyers and pros focused outside the usual hot spots.


Loan Officer Perspective

The signs are lining up for a powerful rebound in both purchase and refinance activity. If Big Rate Cuts land, even in small steps, loan officers should be ready to act. Reconnect with your database, prep your marketing, and most importantly—check in with your realtor partners. This kind of shift could be the launchpad for Q4 wins and strong 2026 pipelines.

Real Estate Agent Perspective

Agents have a window to re-engage buyers who’ve been priced out or discouraged by rates. With potential Big Rate Cuts coming, there may soon be more qualified buyers in the pipeline. Now’s the time to identify the loan officers who have stayed consistent and collaborative. When purchase volume spikes, loyal partnerships will be key to keeping transactions smooth and fast.

Home Buyer & Seller Perspective

If you’ve been waiting for better conditions to buy or refinance, this may be your moment. The Fed is under pressure to cut rates soon, and that could bring better loan options your way. For sellers, shifting value in certain states and metros may also mean new demand. Got questions? Reach out to the mortgage or real estate pro who shared this post—they’re here to help you move forward confidently.


Frank’s Thoughts

Man, this is shaping up to be the refi surge we’ve been waiting for. Loan officers—don’t sleep on this moment. If rates drop meaningfully, you’ll need to be first in line with your clients, but there’s one other thing, DON’T FORGET YOUR REALTOR PARTNERS!

And realtors—take note of which LOs stuck with you during the slow season. The purchase boom that follows Big Rate Cuts will be huge, and those relationships will carry a lot of weight.

Let’s be loyal to each other’s success. There’s room for everyone to win here. The smart pros will prep now and ride the wave together.



Frank Garay is a nationally recognized mortgage industry leader, co-founder of The National Real Estate Post and the Loan Officer Breakfast Club. Named to the Inman 100 list of the most influential in real estate and featured on Fox News, Frank now shares timely mortgage and real estate insights through LOBC In The News to help industry professionals stay ahead.