Mortgage Market Shifts: Rate Cuts, Homeownership Dips, and Insurance Migration

Buyers are increasingly drawn to areas with lower insurance costs like Ohio and Wisconsin.

As the housing and mortgage market continue to react to economic pressures, four key stories this week shed light on the shifting landscape. Our focus keyword: Rate Cuts. The federal government plans to offload part of its Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac stake, signaling a slow move toward privatization. Fed Governor Waller calls for immediate rate cuts, while skyrocketing insurance premiums are pushing buyers to relocate. Finally, new data shows homeownership dipped in Q2 as more Americans turned to renting. Let’s dive into what these updates mean for the industry—and for your clients.


Government Plans to Sell 5% Stake in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

Read the Full Story → CityBiz

The U.S. Treasury announced plans to sell a 5% stake in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac as part of a long-anticipated effort to reduce federal control. This marks the first major move toward privatization since the government took over the GSEs during the 2008 financial crisis.

According to the FHFA, the sale will take place gradually to avoid disruption. The hope is that by allowing private investment, the entities can operate with more efficiency and less political interference.

This decision doesn’t mean full privatization is around the corner, but it does signal momentum. Industry leaders are watching closely for how this affects investor confidence and mortgage availability.


Homebuyers Relocating to Avoid Soaring Insurance Costs

Read the Full Story → Realtor.com

High homeowners insurance premiums are reshaping where people choose to live. States like California and Florida have seen sharp premium hikes due to climate risk, while buyers are increasingly drawn to areas with lower insurance costs like Ohio and Wisconsin.

Many buyers are factoring insurance quotes into their affordability equation. Some have walked away from dream homes due to unaffordable premiums, particularly in wildfire- or flood-prone regions.

Insurance isn’t just an afterthought anymore—it’s influencing real estate trends. With prices and rates already squeezing budgets, insurance is the latest variable shaping migration.


Fed Governor Waller Urges Immediate Rate Cuts

Read the Full Story → MPA

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller has publicly advocated for the Fed to begin cutting interest rates immediately, citing cooled inflation and economic stability. His comments increase speculation that Rate Cuts could happen sooner than expected.

Waller’s remarks are notable because he was previously one of the more hawkish voices on inflation. His pivot signals that the Fed may be more confident that inflation is under control.

If the Fed acts soon, we could see meaningful relief in mortgage rates. This would be a welcome change for borrowers and the housing market as a whole.


Homeownership Rate Dips While Renting Surges

Read the Full Story → Scotsman Guide

The U.S. homeownership rate declined slightly in Q2 2025, dropping to 65.5%. Meanwhile, the number of renter households increased by over 1 million, signaling a shift in consumer behavior amid affordability concerns.

Younger buyers and first-time homeowners continue to be sidelined by high home prices and tight inventory. This has driven more people into renting, even as rents continue to rise.

While the dip is small, it’s part of a larger trend suggesting many would-be buyers are still waiting on Rate Cuts or better affordability before entering the market.


Loan Officer Perspective

This week’s news offers both caution and opportunity. The potential for Rate Cuts gives LOs a reason to re-engage rate-sensitive clients. The Fannie/Freddie sell-off might not have immediate effects, but it’s a conversation starter for long-term housing finance changes. Use these updates in your client outreach—particularly to explain how today’s renters could become tomorrow’s buyers.

Real Estate Agent Perspective

Now’s the time to stay sharp on migration trends and affordability factors. Insurance costs are actively shaping buyer decisions, and agents can position themselves as local experts on which areas offer the best value and protection. The Rate Cuts discussion gives reason to stay in touch with cold leads who may re-enter the market soon.

Home Buyer & Seller Perspective

If you’re feeling priced out or overwhelmed by premiums, you’re not alone. Many are adjusting their plans based on these same concerns. The good news? Relief may be on the horizon if Rate Cuts happen. Be proactive—contact the loan officer or real estate agent who shared this post with you to talk about your options today.


Someone Needs to Make This…

Look, the mortgage market might be unpredictable, but one thing is certain: Frank wants Scotch Pies. This week’s blog comes with a culinary twist. When things get too serious, baking a buttery, meaty pie from Scotland might be the most productive thing you can do.

Here’s a video on how to make Scotch Pies the traditional way. Pro tip: use lard, not butter, for the crust. It’s a game-changer.

So whether you’re watching the Fed or watching your oven timer, enjoy the flavors of good news and good food. Now that’s a tasty combo.

Man I want these….


Frank Garay is a nationally recognized mortgage industry leader, co-founder of The National Real Estate Post and the Loan Officer Breakfast Club. Named to the Inman 100 list of the most influential in real estate and featured on Fox News, Frank now shares timely mortgage and real estate insights through LOBC In The News to help industry professionals stay ahead.